Saturday, October 4, 2014
JIM ROGERS -- The GOLD BULL MARKET is NOT OVER
Famed commodity investor Jim Rogers is on Kitco News to speak about the Chinese and US economy, gold, and even bitcoin. Rogers has some very interesting thoughts about the yellow metal and where he thinks it may be headed. “Gold is still correcting… I expect there to be another opportunity to buy gold sometime in the next year or two.” He also shares his insights on the US economy and how he is not so confident in the US dollar given the country’s elevated debt levels. “No country in world history has got itself into this kind of situation and got out without a crisis or semi-crisis.” He also shares some insights on bitcoin and what he thinks of the cryptocurrency. Gold is traditionally an investment of choice when inflation is rising or global tensions are growing. But this year, despite the conflict between Russia and the Ukraine, gold prices haven't moved much, and inflation in much of the developed world is muted.
"I'm not buying gold at the moment," international investor Jim Rogers tells The Daily Ticker. "But if the opportunity comes along -- and it will in the next year or two -- I will buy more."
Related: Gold industry "needs to get its act together": Randgold CEO
Rogers in the video above what such an opportunity might look like, Rogers said that a 50% decline in gold prices, to under $1,000 an ounce would justify buying the precious metal. (That's a 50% decline from its record high just under $2,000 an ounce in August 2011.) But Rogers also says, "if America goes to war with Iran," he'd be "begging to buy at $1,600 an ounce."
gold futures were trading at $1,300 an ounce, or about 8% higher than the 2013 year-end close of $1,202. Gold prices fell a whopping 28% in 2013, but Rogers says a 50% correction every three or four or five years is more normal for an asset class, and therefore, a reason prices could fall from here.
why gold prices haven't taken off this year, Rogers says demand from China, the number one consumer of gold, is declining because the market there is "saturated." He says investors, meanwhile, would rather put their money into stocks. The Dow (^DJI) and S&P 500 (^GSPC) closed at record highs Tuesday but have since retreated, while the 10-year Treasury note price has advanced, as its yield slipped to 2.55%.
It is true that Rogers warned about the U.S. debt problem back in 2003. At that time, he also foresaw the coming of the U.S. housing collapse. He was at least four years early. prediction future warning
They've already had an impact on some markets. Last week, US stock markets were down 2-3 per cent. This means somebody is paying attention. Unfortunately, we have had problems in Gaza for at least 40 years now and I am afraid we might have another 40 years given where things are going. Eruptions break out and they always have an effect and will continue to do so. We have all been making many mistakes there for a long time now; and I am afraid we will continue to do so. Is this the beginning of the Third World War?
Jim Rogers: If war breaks out, then what you play is gold, oil, commodities, etc. War is not good for anything except for real assets because people need real assets during the time of war - whether they are involved in the war or just protecting themselves. Other than that, I do not see any of this being good for anybody or anything. The deregulation of the financial system during the Clinton and George W. Bush regimes had the predictable result: financial concentration and reckless behavior. A handful of banks grew so large that financial authorities declared them “too big to fail.” Removed from market discipline, the banks became wards of the government requiring massive creation of new money by the Federal Reserve in order to support through the policy of Quantitative Easing the prices of financial instruments on the banks’ balance sheets and in order to finance at low interest rates trillion dollar federal budget deficits associated with the long recession caused by the financial crisis.
Jim Rogers started trading the stock market with $600 in 1968.In 1973 he formed the Quantum Fund with the legendary investor George Soros before retiring, a multi millionaire at the age of 37. Rogers and Soros helped steer the fund to a miraculous 4,200% return over the 10 year span of the fund while the S&P 500 returned just 47%.
Who is Jim Rogers ?
James "Jim" Rogers was born in Oct. 19, 1942 and grew up in Demopolis, Alabama .Jim Rogers started trading the stock market with $600 in 1968.In 1973 he formed the Quantum Fund with the legendry investor George Soros before retiring, a multi millionaire at the age of 37. Rogers and Soros helped steer the fund to a miraculous 4,200% return over the 10 year span of the fund while the S&P 500 returned just 47%. They ran what is considered to be one of the first truly global macro hedge funds. . In 1964 he got his first job on Wall Street at Dominick & Dominick in the summer between high school and Yale University, that's how he got his first experience with stocks and bonds. He immediately fell in love with the job. After Oxford, he returned to the U.S. and joined the army in 1970 he returned to Wall Street, working again with Dominick & Dominick. That same year he joined Arnold S. Bleichroeder, where he met George Soros, and together founded the Quantum Fund. This has opened a new era of global macrotrading and inspired numerous imitations and spin-offs. In the book "Money Masters of Our Time," Jim Rogers writes about that time "the most important thing in my life was work. I did not do anything until I had completed my work." To emphasize this professional ethic , it is good to remember that he did not made any holiday for ten years. In 1980, Jim Rogers has decided to "retire" at 37 years. Since then he has spent much of his time traveling and supporting the causes of philanthropic and taking on many high profile roles in the media. However, he continues to be an active investor and media commentator