Saturday, March 15, 2014
Commodities : The Bull Market will end, I assure you, it will end someday. But not yet
Q: Have commodities fallen away from that multi-year bull market you predicted back in 2004? Or are recent slumps merely temporary corrections in a longer upward trend?
Jim Rogers : It’s a normal temporary correction, which happens in all markets. The bull market in stocks between 1982 and 2000 had many significant corrections. In 1987, stocks went down 40 to 80 percent. 1989, 1990, 1994, 1997, 1998 – these were several very significant corrections in the price of stocks.
Back then many people said: Aha! Now the bull market is over. Well, they were wrong. In my view, this is what’s happening in commodities.
I do not see enough significant permanent new supply in almost anything, which can cause the end of the bull market [in commodities]. Rio Tinto PLC (NYSE:RIO) and BHP Billiton Limited (NYSE:BHP) and others have cut back substantially on their capital spending programs because they think they should not be bringing a lot of new [mining] supply on stream yet. So until we have significant permanent new supply, I don’t see the bull market coming to an end.
The bull market will end, I assure you, it will end someday. But not yet. - in IBTimes
Jim Rogers started trading the stock market with $600 in 1968.In 1973 he formed the Quantum Fund with the legendary investor George Soros before retiring, a multi millionaire at the age of 37. Rogers and Soros helped steer the fund to a miraculous 4,200% return over the 10 year span of the fund while the S&P 500 returned just 47%.
Who is Jim Rogers ?
James "Jim" Rogers was born in Oct. 19, 1942 and grew up in Demopolis, Alabama .Jim Rogers started trading the stock market with $600 in 1968.In 1973 he formed the Quantum Fund with the legendry investor George Soros before retiring, a multi millionaire at the age of 37. Rogers and Soros helped steer the fund to a miraculous 4,200% return over the 10 year span of the fund while the S&P 500 returned just 47%. They ran what is considered to be one of the first truly global macro hedge funds. . In 1964 he got his first job on Wall Street at Dominick & Dominick in the summer between high school and Yale University, that's how he got his first experience with stocks and bonds. He immediately fell in love with the job. After Oxford, he returned to the U.S. and joined the army in 1970 he returned to Wall Street, working again with Dominick & Dominick. That same year he joined Arnold S. Bleichroeder, where he met George Soros, and together founded the Quantum Fund. This has opened a new era of global macrotrading and inspired numerous imitations and spin-offs. In the book "Money Masters of Our Time," Jim Rogers writes about that time "the most important thing in my life was work. I did not do anything until I had completed my work." To emphasize this professional ethic , it is good to remember that he did not made any holiday for ten years. In 1980, Jim Rogers has decided to "retire" at 37 years. Since then he has spent much of his time traveling and supporting the causes of philanthropic and taking on many high profile roles in the media. However, he continues to be an active investor and media commentator